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Background

Storm warnings and the response

The governor of Tunis sent the capital's schoolchildren home at 15:00 on 17 September 2026, in a communiqué published seven minutes earlier that gave heavy rain expected from 16:00 as one of its reasons.

The Tunis governorate published its order at 14:53 on Thursday 17 September 2026: schools were to close at 15:00, and the heavy rain it cited was expected from 16:00. Children at one school on avenue Mohamed V were not collected until about 15:30, and at 18:30 they were still in traffic. The environmental expert Hamdi Hached puts the moment for such a decision at 6 to 12 hours ahead.
Storm warnings and the response

On Thursday 10 September 2026 the National Office of Civil Protection raised its readiness to the highest level, for rain expected that day and the next. The National Institute of Meteorology put Greater Tunis, Zaghouan and Béja under an orange warning. Forecasts reported by La Presse put 40 to 60 millimetres over Le Kef, Jendouba, Siliana and Greater Tunis, and up to 80 at Béja and Zaghouan. Khalil Mechri of the office said a preventive plan was moving staff and equipment into the areas likely to be hit.

On Thursday 17 September the governor of Tunis suspended classes from 15:00, in every school, training centre and university in the governorate. The communiqué went out at 14:53. It named heavy rain expected from 16:00, an hour after the schools would empty, along with the institute's alert bulletins and vigilance map. By the time it appeared, rain had already fallen and snarled the traffic, Business News reported. The decision followed consultation with the regional disaster commission.

The governor of Manouba suspended classes as well. Parents left work in a hurry for the schools at the same moment as drivers trying to get home or find shelter, Business News reported. The complaints that followed were about how the decision was announced more than about closing the schools. The institute had put Sousse, Monastir and Mahdia under orange earlier that day, and that evening it added the four governorates of Greater Tunis, after torrential rain, hail and thunderstorms had hit the capital.

The journalist Essia Atrous mocked what she called a supernatural capacity to anticipate events and risks. Hamdi Hached, an environmental expert, set out a warning chain instead. A first alert can come 24 to 48 hours ahead, with the public informed and schools and transport prepared 12 to 24 hours out. A school closure can be decided 6 to 12 hours out, ideally the day before if the danger is expected in the morning.

The storms killed before the 17th and after. A father and his son were swept away near Metlaoui on Saturday 12 September, and searchers found their bodies on the 15th. An 8-year-old boy was carried off by the oued Rouhia in Siliana on Friday 18 September and found dead that evening. Two Algerian border guards were swept away on Sunday 20 September, from Algerian territory into Tunisia according to early findings reported by La Presse. One body was found that Sunday in Kasserine, the second on Wednesday evening, 23 September.

”real early warning is not a simple weather bulletin”
Hamdi HachedEnvironmental expert

The numbers

Notice before Tunis schools were sent home on 17 September 2026
7 min
7 minutes: the governorate's communiqué went out at 14:53 for a 15:00 dismissal.
Lead times an environmental expert says the warning chain needs
24–48 h
A first alert 24 to 48 hours ahead, public information and preparation 12 to 24 hours ahead, and a closure decided 6 to 12 hours out.
What the Tunis governor's communiqué gave as its reason
Heavy rain forecast from 16:00, on the meteorological institute's alert bulletins and vigilance map, after consulting the regional disaster prevention commission.
Rain forecast for 10 and 11 September 2026
40 to 60 millimetres for Le Kef, Jendouba, Siliana and Greater Tunis, and up to 80 millimetres at Béja and Zaghouan.
Governorates put under orange alert on the evening of 17 September 2026
Tunis, Manouba, Ben Arous and Ariana. Sousse, Monastir and Mahdia had been put under orange earlier the same day.
Deaths in flood accidents in Tunisia, as of 20 September 2026
3 dead
3: a father and his son swept away near Metlaoui on 12 September, and an 8-year-old boy in the oued Rouhia on 18 September.
Algerian border guards killed by the same floods
2 Algerian
2, both swept away on Sunday 20 September; the first body was found that day in Kasserine and the second on the evening of Wednesday 23 September.

What the comparison shows

Where they agree

The forecast is not what anyone disputes. Civil protection acted on it, the Tunis communiqué names the institute's own bulletins as its basis, and Hached's complaint is that a bulletin is not a warning.

Where they split

Hached and Atrous do not aim at the same target. Hached puts the fault in when the decision was taken, and sets out a warning chain that would have produced it earlier. Atrous describes no chain at all: she reads the last-minute closure as a verdict on the country's state of alert.

What nobody is saying

The forecast belongs to the meteorological institute, readiness belongs to the civil protection office and the closure belongs to the governor. The communiqué says what the governor acted on and whom he consulted. No source names a rule obliging him to act by a given hour, and the only timetable is Hamdi Hached's recommendation.

Who says what

Hamdi Hached, Environmental expert

He puts the failure in the timing of the decision, not in the forecast. A suspension of classes should not wait for the rain to start or for the roads to clog, and in a flash flood every hour lost cuts what prevention can do.

”l'alerte précoce réelle n'est pas un simple bulletin météo”real early warning is not a simple weather bulletin
Essia Atrous, Journalist

She mocked what she called a supernatural capacity to anticipate events and risks. She read the stop to classes at the last minute as a sign of the state of alert in the country.

”capacité surnaturelle à anticiper les événements et les risques”supernatural capacity to anticipate events and risks
Khalil Mechri, Lieutenant-colonel, deputy director of operations and monitoring, National Office of Civil Protection

Speaking on 10 September, he said the office had raised its readiness to the highest level and put a preventive plan in place, reinforcing the areas likely to be hit with staff and equipment. La Presse reported that priority would go to places already flooded in earlier rain.

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