Thursday, 30 July 2026 ··

Tunisia News

Tunisia · Europe · Geopolitics: the daily brief

Tunisia

Central bank holds its policy rate at 7 percent and flags a record energy bill

The central bank's board, meeting on 29 July, left the policy rate unchanged at 7.00 percent, judging that inflation risks remain skewed to the upside: headline inflation was 5.3 percent in June, but core inflation excluding fresh food and administered prices has been stuck at 5.0 percent for three months running. The communiqué put the current-account deficit at 4,241 million dinars, or 2.3 percent of GDP, in the first half of 2026 against 2,844 million (1.6 percent) a year earlier, entirely a function of a record 8,502-million-dinar energy bill; excluding energy the current account ran a 2,538-million-dinar surplus. After the repayment of a 700-million-euro Eurobond in July, net foreign assets stood at 23.4 billion dinars, the equivalent of 92 days of imports, on 28 July.

Second circuit breaker in two days, then a rebound, as the regulator calls for calm

Second circuit breaker in two days, then a rebound, as the regulator calls for calm

The Tunindex tripped the circuit breaker again at the open on 29 July, falling more than 3 percent and approaching 4 percent before reversing to close up 1.31 percent at 19,999.20 points, led by the same bank stocks that had driven the two-day sell-off. The same day the Conseil du marché financier convened the finance ministry, the central bank, the listed banks, the exchange and the brokers' association, defended the automatic suspension as standard prudential practice used on major exchanges, and urged investors to act on economic data rather than rumour. Its statement addressed the mechanism and the market's resilience rather than the decree requiring banks to devote 8 percent of profits to interest-free honour loans, which the economist Ridha Chkoundali had identified the previous day as the trigger.

Economy minister floats merging the Gafsa phosphate company with the state chemical group

Economy minister floats merging the Gafsa phosphate company with the state chemical group

Speaking to parliament on 28 July during the debate on the EBRD guarantee, Economy and Planning Minister Samir Abdelhafidh said a merger between the Compagnie des phosphates de Gafsa and the Groupe chimique tunisien is among the options under study, after decree 79 of 1 June 2026 placed both state companies under a single chief executive, Omar Bouzouada. He reminded deputies that phosphates once accounted for about 4 percent of GDP and 9 to 12 percent of exports, and are now down to 0.5 percent of GDP and roughly 3 percent of exports. The merger remark has been reported by a single newsroom, and no legal merger has been announced.

Geopolitics

Hamas says it has agreed to disarm after Trump announces the Board of Peace deal

Hamas says it has agreed to disarm after Trump announces the Board of Peace deal

Donald Trump said on Thursday that the Board of Peace, which he created and chairs, had reached an agreement on the complete disarmament of Hamas and other armed groups in Gaza. A senior Hamas official told the BBC the movement had accepted the plan and that a formal statement would follow; Israel had not commented at that point. The agreement belongs to the second phase of the US-brokered ceasefire, which also covers an Israeli withdrawal and reconstruction, and Trump thanked the mediators Egypt, Qatar and Türkiye.

US and Iran trade missile barrages as hopes of a quick end fade

US and Iran trade missile barrages as hopes of a quick end fade

After a few days of respite the exchange of strikes resumed on Thursday in a war now in its fifth month. Jordan said it had intercepted Iranian missiles for the second day running, Kuwait reported one person killed in a strike in the north of the country, and Saudi Arabia said it had come under fire from Iran-backed militias in Iraq. The war, which President Donald Trump initially said would last four to five weeks, has pushed fuel prices up and is drawing down the American weapons stockpiles needed to defend bases and allies.

Child soldiers in Sudan describe Colombian mercenaries in the RSF's ranks

Child soldiers in Sudan describe Colombian mercenaries in the RSF's ranks

Six boys who were abducted and forced to fight for the Rapid Support Forces have described to the Associated Press, anonymously for fear of reprisal, how they were used in a war now entering its fourth year. A 17-year-old says he was shackled to an anti-aircraft gun mounted on a pickup and ordered to fire at Sudanese warplanes over Khartoum while another child was chained to the steering wheel; two of the boys say they were trained by Colombians. The accounts are rare firsthand testimony about the tens of thousands of children believed to have been conscripted by all sides.

Europe

Russian missile came down in Poland during the overnight barrage on Ukraine

Russian missile came down in Poland during the overnight barrage on Ukraine

Polish police and military spent Thursday examining a crater ten metres across at Tarnawa Kolonia outside Lublin, some 80 kilometres from the Ukrainian border, after residents heard a large explosion at around four in the morning. Prime Minister Donald Tusk travelled to the site with his defence and interior ministers and said everything pointed to a Russian Kh-101 cruise missile, while cautioning against pre-empting the investigation. The impact came during a large Russian attack that hit Kyiv as well as western Ukrainian cities such as Lviv.

Italy demands Spain be shut out of Schengen after the Ceuta migration crisis

Italy demands Spain be shut out of Schengen after the Ceuta migration crisis

After thousands of migrants reportedly forced their way into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini and Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani called for the Schengen agreement to be suspended or for Spain to be removed from the free-travel area. Tajani blamed Pedro Sánchez's migration policy, which promises to legalise hundreds of thousands of unauthorised migrants, calling it profoundly wrong. Spanish Foreign Minister José Manuel Albares summoned the Italian ambassador and replied that the message was unbecoming of the foreign minister of a friendly partner country.

Record low Danube forces Hungary's only nuclear plant to shut down

Record low Danube forces Hungary's only nuclear plant to shut down

The Danube is so low that the cooling-water intakes at the Soviet-built Paks plant no longer reach it, and Prime Minister Péter Magyar says the site must shut down completely for the first time. He warns that Hungary's electricity supply could become critical from Monday, with temperatures around 37C for a week, and has asked households to hold back on consumption between 17:00 and 22:00. In Romania one of the two reactors at Cernavoda has already been shut for the same reason, and the river is at its lowest level in 30 years in several countries.

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