Inflasion fi Tounes: chnowwa ywsallou Banque Centrale w chnowwa ma ywsallouch
Inflasion essanawi fi Tounes tla3 l 5.6 belmia fi septembre 2026, welmekla wechchrab fi 8.4 belmia. W Banque Centrale 5alla nisbet elfayda fi 7 belmia fi juillet w zeda fi octobre, w fi manchour mte3 9 octobre talla3 nisbet eli7tiyati elijbari 3la les comptes courants men 1 belmia l 3, w to5dem men ghorra novembre. W 7o9ou9 issons, elli t7addedhom eddawla, ma tbaddlouch men 2021, w machrou3 9anoun elmaliya mte3 2027, ken yetsada9 3lih, y5alli el5azina tejbed 7atta 9.8 milyar dinar men nafs elbank.
Inflasion fi Tounes yo5roj men ma3had eli7sa2, elli yancher mo2achcher 7o9ou9 elisti7lek koll chhar. Ennisba essanawiya kenet 5.6 belmia fi septembre 2026, ba3d 5.4 belmia fi août, w hiya a3la 9iyes men ettes3a 9iyesat echchahriya elli nacharhom elma3had hassna. Welma3had yfassarha b thletha majmou3at tla3ou asra3 fi 3am: elmekla wechchrab b 8.4 belmia, welmlabes wessabbat b 9.2 belmia, w etta3lim b 5.5 belmia. W fi chhar septembre wa7dou, el7o9ou9 tla3ou 0.8 belmia.
El2ada erra2isiya mte3 Banque Centrale ma t7arrketch: elmajles 5alla ennisba fi 7.00 belmia nhar 29 juillet w zeda nhar 7 octobre. W fi juillet, el9iyes el asasi mte3ou, elli y7ayyed elmekla ettariya wel7o9ou9 elmo9annana, ken 9a3ed fi 5 belmia thletha chhor, welbank 9ra fi hetha elli pression edda5liya 3la el7o9ou9 be9ya motwasla. W fi octobre el9iyes hetha walla 5.1 belmia, welmajles 9al elli ma5ater inflasion be9yin tal3in. W ma3had eli7sa2 y9is el asasi b tari9a o5ra, bla mekla w bla taa9a, w 9addrou b 4.9 belmia fi septembre.
El2ada elo5ra mte3 Banque Centrale hiya eli7tiyati elijbari. Elmanchour 2026-11 mte3 9 octobre ytall3ou men 1 belmia l 3 belmia nhar ghorra novembre, 3la les comptes courants welmabalegh elo5ra elli elbnouk tsalha lel7orfa. Wennisba to93od fi sifr 3la les comptes ettawfir wel ida3at l ajal w chahadet elida3. W 3 belmia men milyar dinar hiya 30 milyoun, 3awedh 10 milyoun ki kenet 1 belmia. W 7asb L'Économiste Maghrébin, el2ada hethi mawjouda bech tthabbet nisab essou9 enna9di w tkabber 7ajet elbnouk lelflous mte3 Banque Centrale, w biha yandhem essiyoula mte3 elbnouk.
Fi juillet Banque Centrale 9al elli el7o9ou9 bech to93od mosta9irra te7tej akthar men essiyesa enna9diya, w tlab men essiyesat eli9tisadiya elkoll temchi fi nafs el5att. Wettaa9a hiya awwel sabab ysammih: fatourat taa9a 9iyesiya b 8502 milyoun dinar fessodesi elawwel mte3 2026. Wel3ajz eljari wsal 4241 milyoun dinar fessodesi hethaka, w 4694 milyoun fi thmanya chhor 7asb ar9am majles octobre. W 7o9ou9 issons ma tbaddlouch men 2021, w lhetha elfar9 bin el7o9ou9 el3almiya welma7atta ytee7 3la elbudget mouch 3la elmo2achcher.
Machrou3 9anoun elmaliya mte3 2027, ken yetsada9 3lih, y5alli el5azina tejbed 7atta 9.8 milyar dinar bla fayda men Banque Centrale, b ta5rij men elfasl 25 mte3 9anoun 2016 elli yadhbot el9anoun el asasi mte3ou. W Fitch 7asbet nafs el9roudh b 7 milyar dinar fi 2024 w zeda fi 2025, w 11 milyar fi 9anoun elmaliya mte3 2026. W fi septembre kenet testanna hetha ywaffi fi 2027. W 7asb Webdo, ettasbi9 ymathel 9rib men 67 belmia men 3ajz metwa99a3 b 14.615 milyar dinar, w 9rib men 35 belmia men 7aja lettamwil b 28.122 milyar.
Elar9am
Chnowwa tbayyen elmo9arana
El7aja elli metf9in 3liha
Balegh juillet mte3 elbank, w Belhaj, w Soussi, elkoll 3tawou ra9m 3la ettaa9a. Elbalegh sajjel fatourat tawrid ettaa9a b 8502 milyoun dinar fessodesi elawwel mte3 2026, w 7seb jari 3andou fa2edh b 2538 milyoun ki tet7ayyed ettaa9a. W Belhaj fi 9raytou l ar9am ettijara el5arijiya ya3ti el3ajz mte3 ettaa9a wa7dou 7946.1 milyoun dinar men 3ajz tijari b 14957.6 milyoun. W ra9m Soussi ra9m budget: da3m issons b 9rib men 11.2 milyar dinar fel3am, mo9abel 9rib men 5 milyar masmou7in.
Win yetfar9ou
Chkoundali y9oul elli ettadhyi9 3la essiyoula mte3 elbnouk ma ynajjemch yousal l hetha inflasion, 5ater fi 9raytou l majles elbank rou7ou pression jey men 7o9ou9 elintej wettaa9a welmawad elawwaliya mouch men ettalab. W yestanna elfatoura ttee7 3la elkridi wel istithmar. W Saied ken tlab men elbnouk fi septembre tsallef as'hal w b chrout a7san, welmanchour mte3 9 octobre yjammed 30 milyoun dinar 3la koll milyar fi les comptes courants. W Belhaj y9oul elli nisbet elfayda el3alya hiya tsarrof fi azma mouch jaweb 3la el asbeb.
El7aja elli 7atta 7add ma ye7kich 3liha
Ki tla9a elmajles nhar 7 octobre, 7ka bettoul 3la inflasion w ma dhkarch nisbet eli7tiyati elijbari elli talla3ha ba3d zouz nhar. Welmanchour rou7ou maktoub ktabdil fi jadwal nisab. W lhetha elhadaf elli mawjoud fessaf7a hethi jey men L'Économiste Maghrébin, elli tfasser el2ada b nisab essou9 enna9di w bessiyoula, w jey men Chkoundali, elli yestanetej sabab yet3alla9 b inflasion men balegh elmajles rou7ou, mouch men 7aja 9alha elbank 3la elmanchour.
Chkoun 9al chnowwa
Wa9tlli tla9a m3a raisat el7okouma w mo7afedh Banque Centrale fi Carthage nhar 23 septembre, da3a elbnouk bech tad3am eli9tisad w tsahhel elkridi b chrout mri7a w te7tarem manachir Banque Centrale. W La Presse na9let elli elli tsammih elghla elmochatt fel7o9ou9 5da barcha men elijtima3, w elli houwa tlab ettawrid yetnadhem welharb 3la elfased tetwasel bla taw9if. W 9al elli eddawla elijtima3iya ma lezemhech to93od chi3ar feddostour, lezemha 7aja y7ess biha elmouwaten koll nhar.
Fi ta7lil nacharou 3la Facebook, w na9latou L'Économiste Maghrébin nhar 13 octobre, y9oul elli ettadhyi9 3la essiyoula mte3 elbnouk ma ynajjemch yousal l hetha inflasion, 5ater elbank rou7ou, 7asb klemou, yrajja3 pression l 7o9ou9 elintej wettaa9a welmawad elawwaliya mouch lettalab. W fi 9raytou, elijra2 hetha ybatta2 elkridi wel istithmar el5ass wennamou. W zeda y9ablou b siyesat eddawla fi 9roudh echcharaf bla fayda: bank ymawwel el9roudh hethoukom w yjammed fi nafs elwa9t akthar men elwada3i3 mte3ou yeb9a 3andou mjel a9all, wechcharikat esseghira welmetwassta hiya awwel elli tet2aththar. W ya3taref elli 9roudh echcharaf tetmawwel men mou2ounat 3la arba7 9dima mouch men elwada3i3 elli tet7seb 3liha ennisba, w y9oul elli eddhi9a teb9a mawjouda.
Fi manchour 3la Facebook na9latou Réalités nhar 12 août, 9ra 3ajz tijari fi 14957.6 milyoun dinar, mo9abel 11904.2 milyoun fi nafs elfatra mte3 2025, w chefou haykali mouch sadma 5arijiya 3abra. Wel7ojja mte3ou hiya el3ajz bla taa9a, elli 9rib tdha3af fi 3amin. W taghtiyet ettawrid bettasdir hbatet l 73.1 belmia ba3d 79.4, w hetha theleth hboudh sanawi 3la ettawali, wel3ajz mte3 ettaa9a wa7dou fi 7946.1 milyoun dinar. W y9oul elli radd Banque Centrale, elli yafredh 3la ettawrid mouch elawlawi ymawwel rou7ou w yab9i nisbet elfayda 3alya, houwa tsarrof fi azma wa9ti mouch jaweb 3la el asbeb.
Y9oul elli da3m issons mte3 2026 yemken yousal 9rib men 11.2 milyar dinar, mo9abel 9rib men 5 milyar fi budget mabni 3la barmil b 63.3 dollar. W 7asb 7sebou, barmil b mo3addal 9rib men 95 dollar yzid 6.288 milyar dinar mte3 masarif, welbarmil fet 104 dollar fi aw9at. W 7o9ou9 issons felma7atta ma tbaddlouch men 2021 w aliyet etta3dil eddawri ma t5demetch, 7asb klemou, w lhetha eddawla tet7ammal barcha men elfar9. W 9anoun maliya takmili ykoun ettari9a etta9niya bech yetl9a elflous.
Elma9alat mte3na
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- Inflasion 5.1 belmya fi juillet, ama elmekla ba9ya fi 6.6essebt, 8 aout 2026
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- La Banque Centrale 5alla nisbet elfayda fi 7% w 7adhdher men inflasion w men fatouret etta9aeljem3a, 31 juillet 2026
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